There is a scary and sombre feeling of loss when you have been to war and you discover all you fought for did not matter. The data we’ve collected on the streets paints a grim picture of how people here feel. They’ve been to the battlefront and found that their efforts have often been in vain. The echoes of defeat are louder than those of victory. On the streets, the majority of Imo residents feel gutted; they feel scared to even speak their truth, but we have some of their voices on record.
Principal Intel embarked on a journey across Imo State’s three senatorial zones to delve into the sentiments of its residents and understand their aspirations for the state’s leadership.
Here are the key findings that emerged from our research:
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While the data paints a complex picture, it’s crucial to understand how Imo residents perceive other political parties, such as the PDP and APGA. These parties have lost some of their previous popularity, as indicated by the last presidential election results. APGA, despite governing a neighbouring state (Anambra), garnered only a meagre 2% support in Imo.
Hope Uzodinma has a single-digit lead (5 points) over his Labour Party counterpart, Senator Athan Achonu, but contextually, that lead is an edgy one considering the fluidity of many undecideds. Labour has a party support of 23% and 17% for her candidate, and APC has a party support of 14% and 22% for her candidate, but with 50% of independents and 47% of residents that wouldn’t disclose or are undecided, we have a heavy political season on our hands in Imo State.
This Roman Empire typology serves as a stark reminder that parties that once rose and fell may face challenges in regaining public trust.
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In summary, our Imo data offers several key insights:
Negatively, 71.4% of Imo residents see the Tinubu Presidency as illegitimate, indicating the APC’s overall weakness in the state.
Negatively, 39% of Imo residents oppose the current governor’s performance, while 31% remain neutral or undecided.
In conclusion, in context and in accordance with all the data available to Principal Intel, we cannot confidently project this election for any of the two leading candidates in Imo State, but we can confidently project that this election would be highly tense considering the context of prevalent insecurity in the state and the incumbent governor, who is seeking re-election and will be willing to employ every resource to return to office for an eight-year run. The fairness and integrity of the election will be critical factors, as well as the determination of the people to make their voices heard in this crucial political battle.
Principal Intel is a Political Data Research Firm
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