Can ADC win Kogi by a landslide? Our Data disagrees
Kogi 2023: ADC expects landslide victory in guber election, says official – NAN
The African Democratic Party (ADC) says the victory of its gubernatorial candidate is a “tsunami waiting to happen” in the November 11 Kogi governorship election.
Adagu Suberu, Director General of Leke Abejide/Idris Omede Governorship Campaign Council of the ADC, remarked during the party’s campaign rally in Okehi and Adavi local government areas of Kogi.
Mr Suberu, a former Chairman of Okehi LGA, said the composition of ADC’s leadership in Kogi was a “coalition of former stalwarts” of the APC and the PDP.
He said the coalition came together to actualise the power shift to Kogi West in the November 11 poll in the spirit of equity, fairness and justice.
He said the ADC candidate’s anticipated victory would be a repeat of the “tsunami” of the February 25 National Assembly elections in Kogi Central Senatorial District. “This time around, the beneficiary governorship candidate in the state will be no other person than Abejide.“The result of the February elections was a sign of rejection of the ruling APC in the area as the people revolted against the ruling party as a repayment of its anti-people policies.
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Data Context:
What is our data saying about the Labour Party’s strength in Kogi state? The Principal Intel survey in Kogi state rated Usman Ododo at 33%, Murtala Ajaka of SDP at 26%, Dino Melaye at 16% and the undecideds at 17%. 90% of the respondents say their minds are made up, so where do ADC and her candidate come in? The APC political party, at 39%, is the strongest in Kogi state compared to LP at 7%, SDP at 9% and PDP at 18%. President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has a huge legitimacy rating of 67%. Our data and projection conclude that the APC’s candidate (Usman Ododo) is projected to win the November 11 2023 elections. Read more about our data at https://principalintel.com/projections
The image shows a survey of all candidates in the Governorship contest in Kogi State
The image shows political party popularity in Kogi state
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The State ADC Chairman, John Adaji, called on the public to ignore false reports that he had dumped the party and had collapsed its structure into APC. “I stand here before you live and direct that I am the authentic chairman of ADC in Kogi State. “There can’t be two captains in one ship, and here I am with you and our governorship candidate, Elder Leke Abejide. “ADC structure is intact. The man who claimed to be chairman and said he had defected to the APC has been expelled from the ADC a long time ago,” he said. Mr Abejide, on his part, promised to revisit the civil service screening embarked upon by Governor Yahaya Bello’s administration if elected.
He said this was to reabsorb workers wrongly dismissed from the service, complemented with full benefits of their salary arrears.
“We will ensure the local government system in Kogi is fully functional as a third-tier government with complete control of its allocations. “ADC will ensure that the payment of percentage salary in Kogi will become a thing of the past. We will end the ungodly payment of between 17-25 per cent of salaries to workers.
“My aim is to ensure that Kogi is stimulated economically on every side for the desired growth and development,” he said. The ADC candidate urged residents of the state to come out en masse to effect the new change by voting for him during the November 11 election.
